The Makings of a New Syria

Adhiyanth Ram — August 25, 2026

On August 20, 2026, Kurdish commander Mazloum Abdi announced the full integration of the Syrian Democratic Forces into the Syrian state, indicating the effective end of a decade of Kurdish self-rule in the country’s northeast. In order to understand the implications of what this announcement means for all parties involved, it is vital to examine primarily the plethora of deals, conflicts, and compromises that led up to it, particularly over the past year. 

The Past

Origins of the Conflict

Bashar al-Assad’s government had first come under serious pressure in March 2011, when pro-democracy demonstrations broke out across Syria. Demonstrators were demanding an end to the authoritarian system the Assad family had run since Hafez al-Assad took the presidency in 1971. Damascus responded with force, deploying police, military units, and paramilitaries against the protest movement. Armed opposition groups began organizing that same year, and the uprising had hardened into full civil war by 2012. The government’s position finally gave way in late November 2024, when the military support it depended on collapsed and it could no longer hold off an opposition advance; Assad left the country in early December. Even after his departure, fighting continued as a new administration worked to bring the rest of Syria under its control. This marked the end of a 53-year old totalitarian regime that had received support from Russia and Iran. Following al-Assad’s fall, he was replaced by Ahmed al-Sharaa, who took power as part of a transitional government following the collapse of the Bashar al-Assad regime on December 8, 2024. 

A crucial actor in this conflict is Turkey, a country whose campaign against Kurdish forces extends past its own borders and into Syria. Turkish operations have targeted the People’s Protection Units (YPG), which is a group that the separatist Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) in Turkey originally helped establish. The YPG forms part of the broader Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a coalition of Arab and Kurdish fighters brought together in 2015 to fight ISIS. Because of the YPG’s PKK lineage, Ankara classifies both the YPG and the SDF as terrorist groups. Washington, meanwhile, has backed the SDF since 2016 as the only partner able and willing to take on ISIS. The PKK finally announced their plan to end its 40-year long insurgency against Turkey last May. The PKK seeks to achieve greater cultural and political rights within Turkey, while Turkey has cracked down on Kurds in return. SDF leadership stated that the ceasefire only applied to the PKK and did not concern their own activities in Syria. The SDF signed an accord to integrate its forces with the armed forces of the new Syrian government, including the disbandment of YPG command structures and the withdrawal of foreign PKK cadres, both of which Turkey welcomed. Despite objections from the United States, Turkey has continued its strikes on SDF-held areas. 

The January 2026 Collapse

In late January, matters shifted decisively when fighting broke out in Aleppo’s Ashrafieh and Sheikh Maqsoud neighborhoods. Friction between Damascus and the SDF had been simmering for years, but this recent burst of fighting led to broader implications. A local flare-up of violence quickly set off a much wider unraveling of SDF authority, changing the control of northeastern Syria within a short span of time. These clashes were birthed from political disagreements over a previous deal signed in March of 2025, which outlined how the SDF would be integrated into the broader Syrian government. After escalating military losses, the SDF commander Mazloum Abdi signed a new agreement with the Syrian president in January. This agreement was set up to be a ceasefire and a plan to restore state-control across Syria (meaning the SDF would have to relinquish large swaths of land previously under their control). However, this deal’s implementation remained uneven. In portions of the Jazira region, including areas around Hasakah and Kobane, the SDF units resisted giving up territory, creating further unrest in the region. 

From a structural standpoint, US backing of the SDF enabled them to have control over northeast Syria for years. However, this also proved to create an overreliance, through which the SDF found itself largely isolated without any other allies as American priorities shifted. Another reason why the SDF lacked lasting legitimacy is because they were a primarily Kurdish organization. Even though some Arab factions were involved, the leadership was nearly entirely Kurdish, which reduced perceptual legitimacy and made them vulnerable as international support grew weak. As the Syrian forces are taking control of SDF-controlled cities, some Arabs and Kurds are apparently looking forward to the integration process, while others are more apprehensive and fearing violence.

Kurdish Rights and Decree 13

The new Syrian government has supported the rights of Kurds through a recent decree. After clashes between the government and the Kurds, al-Sharaa announced that Kurdish would now be considered an official language of Syria, Nowruz (the Persian New Year which is celebrated by Kurds) would now be recognized, and the government would give citizenship to the Kurds who were stripped of citizenship status in 1962. However, many Kurdish civilians are still seeking greater protections under the law, such as an amendment enshrining Kurdish rights into the Syrian constitution.

The Detention Crisis

While retreating, SDF forces released hundreds of Islamic State detainees from the Shaddadi prison, while failing to coordinate with the central Syrian government. However, the Shaddadi releases were only a fraction of a much larger detention crisis. The al-Hol camp near the Syria-Iraq border, consisting of displaced Syrians and around 6,000 foreign nationals with ties to ISIS, has seen a dramatic drop-off in its number of residents, going from around 24,000 earlier this year to being in the low thousands. Although the details regarding how people left the camp are unclear, it is clear that most Syrian nationals left this camp for their home towns, while many foreigners travelled westward. Turkish military pressure had worsened the security issue in Syria. Continued strikes on SDF-held territory disrupted the very forces tasked with securing ISIS detention sites, and analysts argue the group has used this instability to rebuild operational capacity even as it holds no territory. The result is a feedback loop through which Turkish aggression weakens SDF control, weakened control enables ISIS activity, and ISIS activity further destabilizes the integration process that Turkey wants completed.

US Withdrawal

According to US officials, America intended to pull out its last 1,000 remaining troops from Syria within the next two months while the country is restructuring. This action would mark the end of a decade of American troop presence intended to support an anti-ISIS coalition led by the SDF. This move is reflective of the Trump administration working towards establishing diplomatic ties with Syria’s new leader, President Ahmed al-Sharaa, who was previously a rebel leader but has since renounced his connections with al-Qaeda. In April, the final American troops in Syria withdrew through Jordan. The Syrian foreign ministry noted that they were welcoming the full transfer of military bases at which around 1,000 US troops were previously located to combat ISIS. America also helped create a deal between the SDF and Syria in which the Syrian government agreed to lead the fighting of major militant groups such as ISIS. Notably, America’s ties with the SDF had strained Turkey’s relationship with America, since Turkey saw the SDF as an extension of the PKK (which the US, EU and Turkey had all declared as a terrorist group). Crucially, Turkey’s peace talks with the PKK over the last 2 years made it substantially easier for Syria to set up its own deal with the SDF.

The Present

Political Representation

Kurdish representation concerns predate the northeast’s own vote. Syria’s first post-Assad parliamentary election in October 2025 seated only a small share of women and ethnic minorities, a result Kurdish leaders cited when the Hasakah and Kobani elections followed in May. However, Syria is expanding its parliamentary process into the Kurdish-majority northeast region. The previously SDF-controlled areas, such as Hasakah and Kobani, are holding parliamentary elections after being integrated into government control. However, although the transition to a unified, democratic Syria is occurring, many Syrians are still facing the impact of its brutal 13-year civil war. Minorities are currently living under Islamist-led rule, while millions of other Syrians are living in poverty. Even looking at the recent democratic advancements made, there are still shortcomings in the process. The new Syrian model isn’t fully representative, as most seats are voted by electoral colleges and President al-Sharaa, who directly chooses one-third of the remaining lawmakers. However, many voters are still satisfied with this mechanism as a step in the right direction after years of brutal war and dictatorship.

Turkey’s Parliament and the PKK

Turkey’s parliament received a bill in early August as the clearest legal mechanism yet to disarm the PKK, marking the biggest legislative step forward in the conflict’s 40 year history. Under Turkish constitutional law, 400 votes in favor of this proposal are required for it to be immediately adopted, while 360 votes are necessary for a public referendum. A vote on this proposal is expected to take place during the fall.

Returns to the Northeast

Many Kurds in Syria are now internally migrating back towards the northeastern border town, Ras al-Ain, following 7 years of displacement. A first group last week saw around 2,500 people return back to Ras al-Ain. Many Kurds are ecstatic to return back home, with one individual, Nora Khodor, remarking, “I’ve been waiting for this moment… it’s like a dream for a person to return to their home.”

Integration Declared Complete

On August 20th, Kurdish leader Mazloum Abdi announced that the SDF’s integration into Syria’s institutions was complete. Tens of thousands of SDF troops now have jobs as employees of Syrian government ministries. Although this is a vital moment to move towards Syrian unity, Bente Scheller, head of the Middle East and North Africa Division at the Heinrich-Boll-Stiftung Foundation in Berlin, remarks, “For many Kurds, however, the move constitutes a difficult concession. Hopes for self-rule are now seen as more likely to survive only at the municipal rather than provincial level.” On the other hand, Kurds and the broader Syrian government have still seen disagreements, specifically on the topic of women SDF units. The integration of women’s units into Syrian organizations has been denied, facing pushback from Damascus.

Looking to The Future

Looking forward, the Kurdish population in Syria seems to be largely benefitted from this new development, although many finalities are still in the air. The end of dictatorial rule, the introduction of democratic processes, and the integration of Kurdish rights into Syrian law all point towards a hopeful future. However, the absence of full participatory democracy, the failure to fully support women’s rights, and the lack of a constitutional backing of Kurdish rights all indicate an imperfect solution. The next year of resolution will have a great impact on how Kurdish and the broader Syrian population ultimately coexist — whether it be peacefully, or violently. 

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